Oct27

Don’t jump to conclusions…

It’s human nature; we find the quickest way to apply a map to a single fact and extrapolate from it grand conclusions. From one thought, one idea, one expereince we feel we can answer all, now and forever. The biologists say it’s evolutionary. It’s hard wired in us, and it’s part of what makes us greater than the apes.

But that same capability can lead down dark paths to inaccurate points of view, to unsubstantiated conjectures and apparently conclusive but erroneous beliefs that we cling to as if they were universally true.

“We are in an ontological pickle” a friend told me recently, and she was right. We need and want to take our point of view, our existing infrastructural codes and apply them as quickly as possible against the fog of facts that surrounds us. If you are not big or strong or armored (or poisonous) being able to do that is what keeps you from being eaten on the savanna. But as useful as this instinct is against what’s hunting you, it’s not as functional in the modern world.

So I suggest a “Rule of Three”. It’s somewhat along the lines of the effective executive coaching trick that goes “If one person tells you you’re a horse tell them to get lost. If a second person tells you you’re a horse, take heed, but  tell them to get lost also. If a third person tells you you’re a horse, maybe it’s time to get a saddle…”

I suggest that one point, one opinion, one fact tells you little that should be generalized. From one point we know neither direction, vector, nor surface. Given two points, now we have a line and can dismiss from our thinking many options not along that way. But it is not till we have three points, three facts, three experiences that we can talk about location, direction, and using the language of geometry, with three points we have a plane.

I feel comfortable making a decision standing on a plane. It feels more secure, certainly more so than swaying on a line, and I feel much surer on a surface than on the wobbly head of a pin. Who knows where you might fall from that point. So for me at least, deciding with no less than three keeps me from getting into a pickle.


2 Responses to “Don’t jump to conclusions…”

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  1. Oct28

    Erin C.

    Said this at 12:07am:

    Yeah, I apply this same logic to buying music albums. There need to be three great singles in order to justify buying the whole album. One and Two just won’t do. The Rule of Three is a good application in MANY instances… =)

  2. Oct28

    Doug

    Said this at 7:21am:

    Thanks Erin,

    Who ever said that philosophy doesn’t matter…

 

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Douglas Barone

A postmodern Existentialist with Objectivist leanings, fighting to catch up with his art, after serving time as a capitalist oppressor of the people.

Doug Barone retired from corporate life after 20 years in the finance industry and is fooling everyone into thinking he is a writer. Having been a corporate strategist, finance executive, and IT executive he has found almost nothing of use to him from those years except the zany people and crazy stories that no one in their right mind could ever dream up. He uses these real life experiences in his work and this separates him from other writers who never really worked a day in their lives either. He writes about the primacy of the individual, the oppression of institutions, and the ability of real heroes to exist. As such he fully expects to be pilloried by the academic left and the religious right, and looks forward to every lashing.

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